Recount of the Union fact take a look at: What’s magnificent and pretend in Trump’s handle – NBC News

Recount of the Union fact take a look at: What’s magnificent and pretend in Trump’s handle – NBC News

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By Jane C. Timm and Carrie Dann

President Donald Trump delivered his second Recount of the Union handle on Tuesday, where he re-enforced his immigration agenda, slammed “ridiculous partisan investigations” and announced he would meet with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un for a second time later this month.

NBC News fact-checked his Recount of the Union handle as it occurred.

Claim: Trump’s administration has created 600,000 manufacturing jobs

Trump’s resolve is shut. The U.S. has added 454,000 manufacturing jobs since Trump occurred of job in January 2017, about a of the greatest positive aspects in Two decades, in step with jobs knowledge. Trump’s numbers sign an acceleration of a style that began in 2010 below President Barack Obama.

Composed, after a protracted time of automation and switch to the industry in the U.S., manufacturing is a mighty smaller share of the nation’s economy than it used to be a protracted time ago. While 19.5 million of us were employed in the manufacturing industry in 1979, there glean been 12.8 million American citizens in the industry in late 2018.

Claim: Trump says he launched an ‘unprecedented financial boost’

“In barely proper over two years on story of the election, we have launched an unprecedented financial boost — a boost that has rarely ever been viewed sooner than,” Trump mentioned.

Trump occurred of job amid a booming economy, and he’s been taking credit rating for it since day one. But there’s no evidence he created this boost. Some economists argue he boosted boost with tax cuts — turbocharging an already booming economy — while others argue the authorities shutdown, tariffs, and trade war glean slowed boost.

Most can agree, nonetheless, that Trump’s economy — one thing he touts among his greatest successes — has been built upon the upward trajectory that began below Obama.

And while The US’s economy is sturdy, it has grown at a faster rate in earlier years. In 1983, for instance, the nation’s annual GDP used to be 7.9 %. Within the second quarter of 2018, the GDP used to be 4.2 %.

Claim: Trump says unemployment is at its lowest rate in ‘half a century’

Trump’s resolve is sweet, though it is notably a continuation of a ambitious boost style begun after the recession ended in 2010.

When unemployment ticked the total style down to three.7 % in September 2018, that certainly marked the lowest jobless rate since December 1969, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But the jobless rate has since ticked merit as a lot as 4.Zero In January, which is above the three.8 % achieved in the Clinton administration in April 2000.

It be completely magnificent that the economy is in a mighty-improved advise now than it used to be a decade ago. Joblessness has gradually declined on story of the cease of the commercial recession in 2010.

On the different hand it’s a fuzzier picture in phrases of whether Trump deserves credit rating for the low unemployment rate or whether he has continued a style started by the Obama administration. Within the 24 months since Trump has been in place of job, entire non-farm employment has grown by practically 4.9 million. Over the an identical time-frame (24 months) on the cease of Obama’s tenure, entire non-farm employment grew by about 5.1 million.

Claim: Trump boasts of energy ‘revolution,’ says U.S. is now No.1 producer of oil and natural fuel

Trump mentioned Tuesday night that “we have unleashed a revolution in American energy — the USA is now the amount-one producer of oil and natural fuel on this planet.”

While it is magnificent that U.S. is the leading producer of every oil and fuel on this planet, the president is claiming undue credit rating. That’s been the case on story of the middle of the Obama administration.

The U.S. Energy Info Administration chanced on that in 2017, the USA produced perhaps the most petroleum and dry natural fuel of any nation on this planet.

But that’s no longer a contemporary phenomenon, both. The U.S. has topped the manufacturing charts in each categories since 2013 (for petroleum) and 2011 (for natural fuel).

Claim: Trump says nothing can compete with The US’s economy

Trump mentioned Tuesday night that “there’s nothing any place on this planet that can compete with The US,” sooner than later announcing the U.S. is experiencing an financial miracle.

While the U.S. economy has been sturdy total, it’s no longer the fastest-increasing economy on this planet, and a few argue that it’s no longer if truth be told the greatest, both.

In line with the Global Monetary Fund’s latest estimates in its World Economic Outlook, India is projected to glean the finest rate of financial boost among main economies in 2019 and 2020, at somewhere around 7.5 to 7.7 % GDP boost rate. China is projected around 6.2 % boost in 2019 and 2020. The US, meanwhile, clocks in at impartial proper a 2.5 % rate in 2019 and 1.8 % in 2020.

The US does glean the finest nominal GDP of any nation on this planet, per the IMF. That measure doesn’t glean in mind note of residing in various nations, so many economists snarl additionally a measure called shopping vitality parity, which adjusts execrable home product for decrease particular person prices and requirements of residing. The snarl of that measure, China surpassed the USA as the greatest economy on this planet merit in 2014.

Claim: Trump takes credit rating for prison justice reform

“Both parties united for prison justice reform. They mentioned it couldn’t be performed,” Trump mentioned Tuesday night.

Trump is valid that he signed the first main overhaul of penal complex sentencing in a protracted time. That laws, the First Step Act, contains provisions for sentencing reform equivalent to shortening some indispensable minimum sentences for nonviolent drug offenses and addressing racial disparities in the federal penal complex system.

It be additionally magnificent that lawmakers tried and did no longer pass a an identical bundle of reforms at some stage in Obama’s second length of time, but it undoubtedly used to be Republicans who blocked that invoice no topic long-established bipartisan enhance for the measure.

That consensus laws used to be launched by Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, and Sen. Dick Durbin, D-In unhappy health., in 2015. It had the enhance of then-Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, the Koch brothers, and President Barack Obama.

But Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell used to be reluctant to bring the express up for a vote at some stage in the tumultuous 2016 election, and a handful of GOP lawmakers — including Sens. Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Jeff Intervals of Alabama — led the worth to argue that the invoice would lead to the liberate of violent criminals. The invoice by no approach noticed a vote at some stage in Obama’s presidency in consequence.

In 2018, nonetheless, Trump — with indispensable lobbying from his son-in-law Jared Kushner — backed the invoice, prompting McConnell to conform to bring the invoice to the ground.

Some advocates, while mute supportive of the pains, argued that it doesn’t dash far sufficient.

For starters, the invoice entirely addresses the federal penal complex inhabitants, which entirely makes up about 12 % of incarcerated americans in the U.S.

Claim: Trump says ‘prosperous politicians and donors push for originate borders’

Trump underscored his pitch to handle illegal immigration by claiming that “prosperous politicians and donors push for originate borders while residing their lives in the good thing about walls and gates and guards.”

Many Democrats glean called for reforming immigration enforcement — in particular, some glean called for abolishing and rethinking Immigration and Customs Enforcement — but no prominent lawmakers glean pushed for originate borders. Democratic leaders, amid the unique authorities spending battle that ended in the longest shutdown in U.S. ancient previous, consistently rejected Trump’s wall while mute advocating for border security in long-established.

“All of us agree we must true our borders, while honoring our values: we can originate the infrastructure and roads at our ports of entry; we can install unique expertise to scan vehicles and trucks for pills coming into our nation; we can rent the personnel we must facilitate trade and immigration on the border; we can fund extra innovation to detect unauthorized crossings,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., mentioned in January.

And while a meme shared by conservatives on social media alleged there is a wall around Pelosi’s California home — and the president has asserted there is a wall around traditional President Barack Obama’s Washington home — there’s no wall encircling both. The front of the Obamas’ home is with out express viewed in pictures, and the walled-off condo pictured in the meme is no longer if truth be told Pelosi’s, PolitiFact reported, rating the claim “pants on fire.”

In line with The Washington Post, the Obamas did add fencing and a guard gross sales space. Fashionable presidents glean Secret Provider protection for life.

Claim: Trump says the advise of the southern border is ‘lawless,’ threatening the protection of all American citizens

The US’s immigration system is broken — that’s one thing experts, advocates and politicians across the spectrum can agree on — but there’s diminutive evidence the southern border is experiencing a brand unique advise of emergency. Violence is no longer spilling over the border, and terrorists don’t seem like being caught in droves trying to tainted it. Unlawful pills largely advance via valid ports of entry, no longer unguarded parts of the border, in step with border authorities.

Unlawful border crossings glean been shedding for years, and while border apprehensions glean risen in contemporary months, they’re mute markedly decrease than they were twenty years ago, Customs and Border Protection knowledge reveals.

And though Trump has centered on the border, illegal immigration in the U.S. is being pushed by one other element: of us that overstay their visas. Greater than 701,900 of us overstayed their visas at some stage in fiscal year 2017, in step with the Department of Native land Safety. Those that overstay their visas in total enter the nation via an airport, no longer from the border.

Claim: Trump says Democrats voted for border obstacles in the previous

Right here’s magnificent, but Trump brushed apart the wall laws Democrats supported as insufficient.

Dozens of Democrats, including Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York, did vote for the Get Fence Act of 2006, which approved building a fence alongside about 700 miles of the border between the USA and Mexico.Trump derided that fencing in 2016 as “this sort of diminutive wall, this sort of nothing wall.”

Claim: We’re taking in billions off Chinese items with tariffs

Trump vowed to magnificent “calamitous” trade policies, and mentioned he’s “making it certain to China [that] the theft of American jobs and wealth has advance to an cease.”

He continued: “Therefore, we impartial recently imposed tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese items — and now our Treasury is receiving billions of bucks.”

The president portrays this as an American victory over foreign firms. And while the U.S. authorities is taking in billions of bucks in tariffs, it’s no longer the Chinese who’re paying the bulk of these — it’s American shoppers.

Experts told NBC News in December that Trump used to be misunderstanding tariffs, the associated price charged on foreign items after they’re imported. American shoppers in total cease up footing the invoice for these taxes, no longer foreign firms. While one educated mentioned there might well be some evidence that Chinese firms can also very effectively be reducing prices to absorb a fragment of the tariffs to protect extra competitive in American markets, shoppers are anticipated to absorb the bulk of the associated price.

Claim: San Diego proves walls work to fight illegal immigration, Trump says

When Trump argues that the USA needs a wall alongside the southern border, he likes to inform San Diego’s success. “San Diego at threat of glean perhaps the most illegal border crossing in the nation,” Trump mentioned Tuesday night. “In response, a ambitious security wall used to be place in advise. This extremely effective barrier practically completely ended illegal crossings.”

The militarized border touching the communities of Imperial Sea streak, San Ysidro and Otay Mesa contributed to a seventy five % decline in crossings in the years instantly after fencing used to be installed in the Nineties, in step with U.S. Customs and Border Protection knowledge.

There, double and triple obstacles enhance the westernmost stretch of the practically 2,000-mile U.S.-Mexico border as U.S. Border Patrol brokers force SUVs alongside frontage roads and cruise overhead in helicopters.

The hardened border, nonetheless, pushed migrants to far away areas that are extra dangerous, these experts contended. Arizona has change into a hotbed of crossings, but migrants in total die of dehydration. The mountains east of San Diego glean additionally change into a crossing zone, where migrants glean died from hypothermia.

Claim: Trump says drug prices glean declined in 2018

“Already, on story of my administration’s efforts, in 2018 drug prices experienced their single greatest decline in Forty six years,” Trump mentioned on Tuesday.

The president first mentioned drug prices would initiate up shedding in Might perhaps, but an Associated Press investigation of drug prices in the first half of the year chanced on that total prices are mute on the upward push. Over the first seven months of 2018, the AP chanced on that there glean been 96 note hikes for every note decrease.

There glean been fewer note increases from January via July 2018 than at some stage in similar time frames in years previous, but firms mute hiked prices significantly bigger than they decrease them. On the cease of Might perhaps, the president announced that drug firms might well perhaps be voluntarily slashing prices within two weeks. Within the 2 months after that, there glean been 395 note increases and 24 decreases.

In an interview with the AP on the time, Health Secretary Alex Azar mentioned that it’d be awhile sooner than drug prices if truth be told drop. He credited the complexity of the medication market and incentives for drugmakers to lift prices in reveal to lift profits.

Claim: NAFTA used to be a ‘ancient blunder’ for The US

Trump, in urging Congress to enhance his unique trade agreement, mentioned he had met girls and males across the nation whose “dreams were shattered by NAFTA.”

There are many estimates for job losses attributable to the Clinton-period North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) but “millions” is bigger than the amount calculated by most groups from across the ideological spectrum.

Robert E. Scott of the skilled-labor Economic Protection Institute chanced on that about 851,700 U.S. jobs were displaced by the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico between 1993 (almost at the moment sooner than NAFTA used to be implemented) and 2014. That’s an files level that used to be cited by Bernie Sanders at some stage in his 2016 marketing campaign, when he ceaselessly decried job losses attributable to NAFTA.

A 2014 Peterson Institute for Global Economics look for chanced on that while NAFTA has introduced on about 203,000 jobs to be displaced by NAFTA-connected imports every year, imports enhance 188,000 unique jobs, ensuing in a in discovering loss of entirely about 15,000 every year.

And the nonpartisan Congressional Evaluate Provider wrote in 2017 that “if truth be told, NAFTA didn’t motive the huge job losses feared by the critics or the huge financial positive aspects predicted by supporters. The on-line total enact of NAFTA on the U.S. economy looks to be to glean been quite modest, basically on story of trade with Canada and Mexico accounts for a miniature share of U.S. GDP.”

Claim: Trump says New York permits abortion ‘moments sooner than beginning’

“There’ll likely be no elevated contrast to the beautiful image of a mom preserving her infant baby than the chilling displays our nation noticed in contemporary days,” Trump mentioned, speaking out against abortion that happens later in pregnancy. “Lawmakers in New York cheered with delight upon the passage of laws that might well enable a child to be ripped from the mom’s womb moments sooner than beginning.”

Right here’s pretend.

The advise impartial recently passed a law loosening restrictions on abortions in the advise, allowing abortions after 24 weeks if the fetus is no longer viable or when it’s indispensable to present protection to the life of the mom. The president paints the image of a wholesome mom and baby, but an abortion would no longer be valid in that scenario after 24 weeks in New York advise.

Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo has pushed merit at critics, noting that it is “impartial proper a glean of the federal law” — the abortion rights enshrined in the Supreme Court decision Roe v. Wade.

What’s extra, abortions later in pregnancy are exceedingly uncommon; the Facilities for Illness Adjust reports that impartial proper 1.three % of abortions in the U.S. in 2015 took advise in or after the twenty first week.

Claim: Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam acknowledged he ‘would create a child after beginning’

Speaking about abortion, Trump mentioned, “we had the case of Governor of Virginia where he acknowledged he would create a child after beginning.”

A spokesman for the governor, Ralph Northam, disputed this characterization of confusing remarks he made days ago — and it needs to be mighty that Northam used to be discussing a hypothetical assignment that might well occur entirely in conditions of excessive deformities or nonviable pregnancy.

Nonetheless, Northam introduced on a firestorm when he replied to a hypothetical ask connected to a proposed advise law that might well glean made it a diminutive more easy for a girl to construct an abortion later in a pregnancy for scientific causes.

Requested on a radio program what happens when a girl who goes into labor needs a 1/three-trimester abortion, Northam mighty that this extra or much less assignment entirely occurs in conditions of excessive deformities or a nonviable pregnancy. He mentioned that on this scenario, “the baby might well perhaps be resuscitated if that’s what the mom and the family desired, and then a discussion would ensue between the physicians and the mom.”

It’s worth noting that the proposed Virginia law — which did no longer pass the Republican-controlled legislature — wasn’t proposing legalizing abortions in the 1/three trimester; that is already valid in the advise. The invoice proposed altering the choice of physicians required for that extra or much less abortion’s approval — from three to one physician. It additionally proposed broadening the checklist of effectively being concerns that might well enable a girl to leer repute of such an abortion.

Claim: ‘Over the previous two years, we have begun to utterly rebuild the USA Militia’

Despite Trump’s frequent discussion of “restoring” and “rebuilding” The US’s military can also, the latest laws he signed to fund national protection came in at much less than an Obama-signed invoice in 2011.

For fiscal year 2019, Trump has signed into law Nationwide Protection Authorization laws that offers $716 billion for national protection operations, including $639 billion for the Pentagon.

That’s a smaller greenback amount than the $726 billion offered by the 2011 Nationwide Protection Authorization Act.

It’s no longer certain yet what Trump will in a roundabout plot propose for defense spending in fiscal year 2020.

In a tweet on Dec. 4, he regarded to decry the amount of spending on protection, announcing, “The U.S. spent 716 Billion Bucks this year. Crazy!” (He’s referring to the an identical invoice he signed into law).

But days after reports that he desired to slash future spending to $700 billion, the administration signaled that Trump would as an different conform to a question from then-Protection Secretary Jim Mattis to lift that quantity to $740 billion.

Claim: Trump says Venezuela’s collapse is a consequence of ‘socialist policies’

For the explanation that swearing-in of President Nicolás Maduro — whom mighty of the worldwide neighborhood has called illegitimate —many conservative critics glean blamed the nation’s “twenty first century socialism” for the unrest and protests in the nation. Trump on Tuesday night mentioned that Maduro’s “socialist policies glean grew to change into that nation from being the wealthiest in South The US proper into a advise of abject poverty and despair.”

On the different hand it is far a extra refined picture than impartial proper the s-be aware. The corruption of Venezuelan leaders and the nation’s shut to-total dependence on oil are additionally crucial parts of the nation’s downfall.

After Maduro’s predecessor, Hugo Chávez, grew to change into president in 1999, he labored to make snarl of oil revenues from the then-booming industry to fund national applications. But when oil prices began to collapse in 2014, almost at the moment after Chávez died and Maduro took over, the nation lacked funds for these applications.

U.S. sanctions on the oil industry, a consequence of costs of corruption and human rights abuses by Venezuelan leaders, glean been one other blow to the economy. Francisco Toro, a Venezuelan journalist and an legit with the Latin American commercial group Neighborhood of 50, wrote in a Washington Post idea article last year that “all Venezuela demonstrates is that whenever you occur to leave implementation to the very worst, most anti-mental, callous, authoritarian and prison of us in society, socialism can glean undoubtedly horrendous penalties.”

Toro and others glean pointed out that other nations with leftist or socialist-leaning governments — fancy Denmark or Sweden — glean no longer experienced an identical unrest.

Claim: North Korea hasn’t examined a missile in 15 months

“Our hostages glean advance home, nuclear testing has stopped, and there has no longer been a missile originate in 15 months… Noteworthy work remains to be performed, but my relationship with Kim Jong Un is a magnificent one,” Trump mentioned.

While Trump is valid that North Korea has no longer launched a missile in 15 months, there’s gargantuan evidence that North Korea is hunting for to retain and conceal their nuclear capabilities — contradicting the president’s previous claims that he’s made broad development in getting Pyongyang to present up their nuclear weapons.

Director of Nationwide Intelligence Dan Coats mentioned last week that it is “perhaps no longer” North Korea will try to denuclearize.

And the regime looks to be to be working to cowl their efforts. As NBC News reported on Jan. 21, researchers funded by the protection think tank Heart for Strategic and Global Studies glean chanced on an undisclosed secret ballistic missile snide in North Korea — and that there will likely be as many as 20.

North Korea has additionally refused to present an intensive checklist of its nuclear and missile amenities, no topic the U.S. calls for it to enact so.

A conventional senior U.S. legit who has been briefed on the negotiations told NBC News that “I will’t obtain someone in the U.S. who thinks the North Koreans are denuclearizing.”

Vice President Mike Pence conceded earlier this month that the U.S. is mute “dwell wide awake for[ing] concrete steps by North Korea to dismantle the nuclear weapons that threaten our of us and our allies in the map.”

Claim: Trump says U.S. has liberated ‘almost all’ of Iraq and Syria from ISIS

It be impartial proper for Trump to express that ISIS can claim impartial proper a fragment of the territory it once did.

All but about 1 % of the territory that ISIS once controlled is now long gone, in step with Brett McGurk, the now-traditional special presidential envoy to the coalition to defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq.

But the Heart for Strategic and Global Studies estimates that “while Islamic Recount territorial abet a watch on has been diminished to minor pockets of rural Iraq, the community used to be mute accomplishing a median of seventy five attacks monthly in 2018.”

And in the annual “Worldwide Probability Review,” released in January, U.S. intelligence officials concluded that “ISIS mute instructions hundreds of opponents in Iraq and Syria, and it maintains eight branches, bigger than a dozen networks, and hundreds of dispersed supporters across the arena, no topic indispensable management and territorial losses.”

One such attack is namely raw: 4 American citizens were among these killed by an explosion in Manbij, Syria, on January sixteen. ISIS claimed duty for that attack.

Additionally, military officials glean warned that — with out sustained stress from the U.S. — ISIS can also glean that lost territory.

In January, NBC News reported on a draft Pentagon file warning that ISIS is intent on reconstituting a bodily caliphate and that the phobia community can also retake lost land in six to 365 days if there’s no military stress preventing them from doing so.

“Nobody is declaring mission done” in the battle against ISIS, McGurk mentioned in early December. Then, after Trump announced on Dec. 19 that U.S. troops would withdraw from Syria, tweeting that ISIS had been “defeated,” McGurk resigned. Protection Secretary Jim Mattis additionally resigned in the wake of that decision.

Claim: 1 in three girls is sexually assaulted on the trail to The US

While it is far no longer easy to estimate the rates at which it occurs, it’s magnificent that sexual violence is a actuality for heaps of female migrants. One Amnesty Global publication in 2010 reported that it is the “widely held ponder” of non-income and scientific workers that as many as six in 10 migrant girls are raped.

Trump’s estimate looks to be to be in step with a Might perhaps 2017 file by Docs Without Borders, which chanced on that about one-1/three of female migrants (out of a look for of 467 migrants entire) had experienced sexual abuse at some stage in their trail.

Claim: Trump says ‘we have extra girls serving in Congress than at any time sooner than’

Trump earned substantial applause for this line: “We glean extra girls serving in Congress than at any time sooner than.”

He’s valid, but it undoubtedly’s additionally magnificent that these girls are overwhelmingly Democrats. In actuality, the fragment of Republican girls in the House has long gone down on story of the last Congress.

In line with the Heart for American Ladies folks and Politics at Rutgers University, of the 127 female vote casting members of the House and Senate in the chamber tonight, 106 are Democrats and impartial proper 21 are Republicans.

In actuality, in the House, the fragment of Republican girls if truth be told diminished from last Congress to this one. Closing Congress, there glean been 23 Republican girls serving in the House as vote casting members. That’s the total style down to impartial proper Thirteen this Congress.

The total breakdown of female vote casting members is:

House: 89 Democrats, Thirteen Republicans

Senate: 17 Democrats, 8 Republicans

Claim: Trump says he’s sending one other three,750 troops to the U.S. border

Right here’s magnificent — though these troops will no longer all deploy on the an identical time.

The Department of Native land Safety question for assistance used to be current in January by acting Protection Secretary Patrick Shanahan, who agreed to send three,750 extra troops to string concertina wire, man surveillance cameras, and present some airlift enhance. On the different hand, they is no longer going to all deploy to the border proper now. There’ll likely be an influx of about 2,000 to string a hundred and sixty miles of concertina wire but then the amount will return down as the mission turns to manning surveillance cameras and supporting Customs and Border Protection in numerous routes.

There are about 2,four hundred spirited duty there now, and additional will initiate as a lot as deploy in mid-February. Composed, the entire deployed there’s no longer anticipated to surpass about 4,four hundred at this level.

Claim: Trump says Mexican cities are paying for migrants to trail to U.S.

In a share discussing illegal immigration, Trump mentioned that “Mexican cities, in reveal to raise the illegal immigrants from their communities, are getting trucks and buses to bring them as a lot as our nation in areas where there might well be diminutive border protection.”

Trump looks to be referring to a community of about 2,000 migrants who arrived on the port of entry in Eagle Chase, Texas. This community made mighty of their trail by bus, and a handful of cities and towns they passed via in Mexico paid for the buses on story of they weren’t equipped to care for the immigrants.

On the different hand, it is far no longer certain what Trump intended when he mentioned there might well be “diminutive border protection.” Texas sent advise patrolmen and girls to Eagle Chase this day as reinforcements, where federal and native law enforcement additionally had an even bigger than traditional presence, in step with local files reports.

“There’s patrol in any admire cases via the pains, so it is impartial proper a diminutive heavier this day than traditional,” Eagle Chase Mayor Ramsey Cantu told journalists on Tuesday, in step with the local ABC News affiliate.

Department of Native land Safety Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen mentioned that DHS will “take all steps to be obvious that the protection of law enforcement personnel” on the border.

Claim: The economy is increasing twice as snappy this day as when Trump occurred of job

“The U.S. economy is increasing practically twice as snappy this day as after I occurred of job,” Trump mentioned Tuesday night.

Right here’s magnificent. When Trump occurred of job, the bustle of GDP boost used to be 1.8 % for the first quarter of 2017; in the 1/three quarter of 2018, the latest knowledge on hand, it used to be three.4 %.

Claim: ‘Tens of hundreds’ of American citizens are killed by pills coming across the border

It’s valid that lethal pills enact advance upon the border, and drug overdose deaths are up among males, girls, all races, and adults of practically all ages, in step with the Facilities for Illness Adjust and Prevention. In 2017, 70,237 of us died from an overdose.

But Trump — in pushing for a border wall — tends to brush apart that the overwhelming majority of no longer easy pills from Mexican cartels advance into the U.S. via valid ports of entry, which wouldn’t be stricken by a wall.

In line with a 2015 Nationwide Drug Probability Review by the DEA, Mexican drug cartels “transport the bulk of their pills over the Southwest border via ports of entry (POEs) the utilization of passenger vehicles or tractor trailers. The pills are in total secreted in hidden compartments when transported in passenger vehicles or commingled with real items when transported in tractor trailers.”

Within the 2018 model of the an identical publication, DEA mentioned “One of the most total manner employed by these [cartels] entails transporting illicit pills via U.S. POEs in passenger vehicles with concealed compartments or commingled with real items on tractor trailers.”

The Trump administration is aware of this. Then-Department of Native land Safety Secretary John Kelly — who went on to change into White House chief of personnel till December 2018 — mentioned in April 2017 that illegal drug traffic “mostly comes via the ports of entry.”

Claim: Trump says U.S. has ‘extra girls in the personnel than ever sooner than’

It be magnificent that there are extra girls in the personnel than ever sooner than, but that’s the continuation of a lengthy-length of time style.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated in January that there glean been about Seventy four.9 million girls in the personnel. But that quantity has lengthy been trending upward, and the total boost of the U.S. inhabitants approach that the raw choice of girls in the personnel has elevated practically every year since a minimum of the early 1980s — excluding in years at some stage in which the nation experienced a recession.

Per chance one other metric to measure girls’s participation in the personnel might well perhaps be the girls’s unemployment rate. The unemployment rate for women over sixteen stood at three.9 % in January. That used to be up a diminutive of from a low of three.6 % in Might perhaps and September of last year. But, as with unemployment total, girls’s unemployment has been falling on story of the cease of the recession.

Claim: Trump says border fencing made El Paso safer

“The border metropolis of El Paso, Texas, at threat of glean extremely excessive rates of violent crime — one among the finest in the nation, and regarded as as one among our nation’s most dangerous cities,” Trump claimed in his handle. “Now, with a extremely effective barrier in advise, El Paso is one among our most secure cities.”

In actuality, El Paso’s crime rate had been shedding for years when building on border fence began in 2008. On the different hand, the crime rate if truth be told rose at some stage in building and in the year after completion of a fence, in step with an diagnosis of FBI crime knowledge by the El Paso Cases.

The metropolis’s Democratic sheriff, Richard Wiles, disputed Trump’s characterization as “falsehoods” at threat of “clarify the building of a 2,000 mile wall.”

“The info are certain. While it is magnificent that El Paso is one among the most secure cities in the nation, it has by no approach been ‘regarded as as one among our nation’s most dangerous cities,” Wiles mentioned in an announcement offered to NBC News. “And, El Paso used to be a true metropolis lengthy sooner than any wall used to be built. President Trump continues to present a pretend story a couple of broad metropolis that if truth be told represents what this broad nation is all about.”

Claim: Trump says ‘loads of American citizens’ are murdered by ‘prison illegal aliens’

In his handle, Trump claimed that “loads of American citizens” are murdered by “prison illegal aliens.”

There isn’t magnificent knowledge on homicides namely in the USA, but there’s no evidence that immigrants commit extra crimes than American-born residents.

Previous empirical analysis reveals that “immigrants enact no longer enlarge local crime rates, are much less liable to motive crime than their native-born mates, and are much less liable to be incarcerated than native-born American citizens,” in step with the Libertarian-leaning Cato Institute.

Trump has beforehand circulated a claim backed by Rating. Steve King, R-Iowa, that sixty three,000 American citizens glean been killed by undocumented immigrants since eleventh of September, but that quantity has since been debunked.

PolitiFact has extrapolated from unusual knowledge sources that the choice of homicides dedicated by undocumented immigrants can also drop between about 450-600 per year. But all once more, these are guesses, no longer in step with national knowledge sources.

Jane C. Timm

Jane C. Timm is a political reporter and fact checker for NBC News.

Carrie Dann is a political editor for NBC News. 

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February 6, 2019

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